#CognitiveDissonance

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Curious MagpieA friend asked if I would dog sit today while she and her husband went out for the night. <a href="https://beige.party/tags/SunshineSadie" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#SunshineSadie</a> and I are chillaxing in the green abundant beauty. It's so peaceful.I'm trying to appreciate this break from my current living situation. And also to keep up with what's happening around the country and around the world. It sure does create a lot of ... <a href="https://beige.party/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a>

Droppie [infosec] 🐨:archlinux: :kde: :firefox_nightly: :thunderbird: :vegan:Sydney Morning Herald - Latest News<blockquote>Old king coal is spluttering as power plants age out of usefulness</blockquote><a href="https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/old-king-coal-is-spluttering-as-power-plants-age-out-of-usefulness-20250611-p5m6hs.html?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/old-king-coal-is-spluttering-as-power-plants-age-out-of-usefulness-20250611-p5m6hs.html?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/AusPol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#AusPol</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WhyIsLabor" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WhyIsLabor</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/HahahahaLiebs" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#HahahahaLiebs</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NatsAreNuts" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NatsAreNuts</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/GreensYEAH" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#GreensYEAH</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NonLinear" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NonLinear</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/TippingPoints" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#TippingPoints</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/PositiveFeedbackLoops" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#PositiveFeedbackLoops</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FossilFools" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FossilFools</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RenewableEnergy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RenewableEnergy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ChangeTheSystem" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ChangeTheSystem</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StateCapture" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StateCapture</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RightToProtest" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RightToProtest</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Biodiversity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Biodiversity</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WeAreTotallyFscked" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WeAreTotallyFscked</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Misanthropy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Misanthropy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Karma" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Karma</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StopLoggingNativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StopLoggingNativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FsckCapitalism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FsckCapitalism</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a>

ˈdälfən™🐬 💥 🌊I bet this statement before Trump’s political rally (*ahem*)... speech to celebrate the US Army’s 250th anniversary was awkward for active military told to remain apolitical:~”If soldiers have political views in opposition to the current admin and don't want to be in the audience, they must speak w/ their leadership & get swapped out.”/5 <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/USA" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#USA</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/trump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#trump</a>~Soldiers Who Cheered Trump's Political Attacks While in Uniform Were Checked for Allegiance...~<a href="https://www.military.com/daily-news/2025/06/11/bragg-soldiers-who-cheered-trumps-political-attacks-while-uniform-were-checked-allegiance-appearance.html" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.military.com/daily-news/2025/06/11/bragg-soldiers-who-cheered-trumps-political-attacks-while-uniform-were-checked-allegiance-appearance.html</a>

caffeinatedgeek 🏳️‍🌈🇺🇦🇨🇦:Jets:<a href="https://beige.party/@SnowshadowII" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@SnowshadowII</a> but our politicians are pushing for more oil and gas pipelines. <a href="https://thecanadian.social/tags/cognitivedissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#cognitivedissonance</a>

Droppie [infosec] 🐨:archlinux: :kde: :firefox_nightly: :thunderbird: :vegan:There's nothing new per se here, but it's nonetheless a saddening read, gaaaaah. <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06-08/fossil-fuels-warming-planet-democracy-in-retreat-does-labor-care/105378134" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06-08/fossil-fuels-warming-planet-democracy-in-retreat-does-labor-care/105378134</a><a href="https://infosec.space/tags/AusPol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#AusPol</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WhyIsLabor" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WhyIsLabor</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/HahahahaLiebs" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#HahahahaLiebs</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NatsAreNuts" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NatsAreNuts</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/OzElection2025" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#OzElection2025</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/GreensYEAH" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#GreensYEAH</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NonLinear" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NonLinear</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/TippingPoints" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#TippingPoints</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/PositiveFeedbackLoops" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#PositiveFeedbackLoops</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FossilFools" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FossilFools</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RenewableEnergy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RenewableEnergy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ChangeTheSystem" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ChangeTheSystem</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StateCapture" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StateCapture</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RightToProtest" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RightToProtest</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Biodiversity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Biodiversity</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WeAreTotallyFscked" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WeAreTotallyFscked</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Misanthropy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Misanthropy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Karma" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Karma</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StopLoggingNativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StopLoggingNativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FsckCapitalism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FsckCapitalism</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a>

Droppie [infosec] 🐨:archlinux: :kde: :firefox_nightly: :thunderbird: :vegan:Yeah, well, she's a specialist & i'm not, but i feel far more pessimistic than apparently she does. <a href="https://www.crikey.com.au/2025/06/06/climate-litigation-activist-lawfare-woodside-santos-court/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.crikey.com.au/2025/06/06/climate-litigation-activist-lawfare-woodside-santos-court/</a>QUOTE BEGINSLast week, Australia’s top oil and gas executives gathered at the Australian Energy Producers conference to sound the alarm on the rise of so-called “activist lawfare”. Speaking at a session titled “From Placards to Plaintiffs” — of which Crikey obtained a recording — panellists including Santos’ Kevin Gallagher and Woodside’s Meg O’Neill rattled off a list of reasons why public-interest climate litigation is a scandalous threat.Woven through their arguments were narrative tactics aimed at delegitimising communities that seek to uphold the law in court, casting them either as nefarious, sophisticated operatives with “legal budgets a lot of the big firms here represented today wouldn’t even rival”, or unserious, infantile activists with “ideological” legal strategies — claims that are hard to reconcile.The conference’s “lawfare” session is part of a broader push from the resources sector to shut down the growing wave of community climate litigation — a playbook honed in the 1990s with attempts to undermine the courts amid the landmark Mabo and Wik decisions.This year, multibillion-dollar gas giant Santos, represented by the US firm Quinn Emanuel — the “most feared law firm in the world”, according to its website — recently aggressively pursued the Environmental Defenders Office and four civil society organisations that had expressed support for traditional owner Simon Munkara’s unsuccessful case against them.To the applause of the gas industry, the new Northern Territory government recently removed the power of courts to review government decisions made under petroleum, planning and water laws (called third-party merits reviews) — a critical way communities can use the courts to ensure environmental decisions made by politicians comply with the law.Similar changes are popping up at the federal and state levels. Conservative media pundits have provided a steady drumbeat of anti-“lawfare” rhetoric throughout, with commentary in The Australian last week calling on governments to “fix” the issue of pesky legal accountability. These narratives and legal tactics come from a global gas industry playbook designed to lock in the industry’s profitability, despite the unequivocal scientific evidence that gas pollution is driving radical climate harm. Demonising public participation in the courts is a dangerous path. Holding the powerful accountable to the law is a basic tenet of liberal democracy. Undermining the courts by attacking the moral legitimacy of public interest litigation or limiting judicial oversight can have catastrophic long-term impacts. One cursory glance at the US is enough to remind us that communities must have access to a trusted democratic backstop.What’s conveniently left out of “lawfare” accusations is the agency and grassroots credentials of plaintiffs. The word “activist” is used as a smear, evoking images of inner-city blow-ins enacting a woke agenda, detached from the wishes of real locals. In reality, it is the communities directly impacted by climate-polluting developments that are typically bringing litigation.Take Mardathoonera woman and traditional custodian Raelene Cooper, who has been striving to protect the ancient Murujuga rock art, comprising more than 1 million ancient rock engravings that are eight times older than the pyramids. Pollutants from Woodside’s North West Shelf are threatening the sacred site, and the federal government has failed to process her cultural heritage application for more than three years.Or take the group of NSW farmers who have just this week filed a challenge to Santos’ 50km Narrabri gas pipeline, which risks damaging vital rivers and aquifers — clean water sources they are dependent on. Litigation is an adversarial and taxing task, but how else can people assert their legal rights when governments fail to uphold or enforce the law against powerful corporations? Missing from these narratives is also an acknowledgement of the robust mechanisms courts have in place to dismiss dodgy cases. “Lawfare” arguments imply that companies are being vexatiously bombarded by nonsense cases. But it is for a court to decide if a case has merit, not senior executives of gas companies. In fact, for a case to make it to a hearing, the court must judge it as having legal merit.The fossil fuel industry is terrified of the accountability that litigation brings. Courts have the power to cut straight through the protective padding of PR spin and bring discussion into the realm of facts, and make orders on this basis. The gas industry has recently found this out the hard way via a wave of greenwashing litigation that challenges its deflect, distract, obfuscate strategy.Last month, in response to a case brought by concerned parents, Energy Australia was forced to publicly apologise to 40,000 customers and admit carbon offsets do not neutralise the damage of fossil fuels. At the same time, Santos shareholders have been in court to challenge the company’s widely marketed “clear plan” to reach net zero by 2040 and claim that natural gas is “clean energy”, alleging they are “little more than a series of speculations”.Some may remember the wave of community litigation that steered public discourse against the tobacco industry in the US. The tobacco industry’s attempt to spin its way out of the devastating health impacts of cigarettes was no match for the scrutiny of the courtroom. The oil, coal and gas industries have strategically ducked and weaved litigation for decades, but the law is catching up with them. They’re desperate to shut it down. We must resist the self-interested calls of polluters to shut communities out of the courts. The alternative puts our democracy on a dangerous path. <ul><li>Isabelle Reinecke is the executive director and founder of Grata Fund, a public-interest organisation that supports marginalised people and communities access the courts system. She is also the author of Courting Power: Democracy, Law and Public Interest in Australia (Monash). </li></ul>QUOTE ENDS<a href="https://infosec.space/tags/AusPol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#AusPol</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WhyIsLabor" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WhyIsLabor</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/HahahahaLiebs" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#HahahahaLiebs</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NatsAreNuts" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NatsAreNuts</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/OzElection2025" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#OzElection2025</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NonLinear" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NonLinear</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/TippingPoints" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#TippingPoints</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/PositiveFeedbackLoops" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#PositiveFeedbackLoops</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FossilFools" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FossilFools</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RenewableEnergy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RenewableEnergy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ChangeTheSystem" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ChangeTheSystem</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StateCapture" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StateCapture</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RightToProtest" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RightToProtest</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Biodiversity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Biodiversity</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WeAreTotallyFscked" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WeAreTotallyFscked</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Misanthropy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Misanthropy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Karma" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Karma</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StopLoggingNativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StopLoggingNativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FsckCapitalism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FsckCapitalism</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a>

Kevin Karhan :verified:<a href="https://kolektiva.social/@beka_valentine" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@beka_valentine</a> <a href="https://infosec.exchange/@Crispius" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@Crispius</a> precisely that is the <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a> that <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/facists" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#facists</a> love...

Droppie [infosec] 🐨:archlinux: :kde: :firefox_nightly: :thunderbird: :vegan:<a href="https://www.crikey.com.au/2025/06/02/north-west-shelf-labor-climate-plan-tactical-fatalism/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.crikey.com.au/2025/06/02/north-west-shelf-labor-climate-plan-tactical-fatalism/</a>QUOTE BEGINSAnyone working to increase the supply or use of fossil fuels in 2025 is one of two things.The first option is that they’re a climate denier; refusing to accept the physical evidence proving the consequences of what happens when those fuels are burned. Climate deniers are bad. The Labor Party are not climate deniers (its members regularly point that out).There is a second possibility — something far scarier, and far worse. Someone can work to worsen fossil fuel reliance in 2025 in full acceptance of the consequences, but without any willingness to work to prevent them. There isn’t a great name for this, but we can call it “tactical fatalism”: the intentional, weaponised insistence that a worse future is the only future (from those who benefit the most from whatever makes it bad).When Labor’s new Environment Minister Murray Watt approved the gargantuan North West Shelf fossil gas processing facility’s 40 year extension recently, there was a justified outcry from Australia’s major environment and climate groups. You didn’t have to look far to find someone feeling “betrayed” by the government’s decisions. What struck me, though, is that Labor have always been subtly clear about its stance on global climate futures, through its own decisions and statements. The party is a tactical fatalist, limbering up to be the coal and gas supply pit for a world it sees as inevitably on the verge of burning its inhabitants to char.The release of Labor’s “Future Gas Strategy” just over one year ago drew similar outrage (and feelings of betrayal) from the big environment NGOs in Australia. I found that report absolutely incredible. Normally in these types of documents put out by governments, you’ll see a careful, awkward dance performed; avoiding the fact that the best-case future climate scenarios see significantly lower use of fossil fuels like gas around the world. The laws of atmospheric physics mean a good future for the gas industry is a bad future for the rest of us. Not only does the Future Gas Strategy not dance around this, it absolutely burns up the floor like a confident teenager playing Dance Dance Revolution in 2003. The “analytical report” features this brazen graphic, where the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) “net zero” scenario, featuring a massive drop in global fossil gas consumption, is compared to the government’s own Department of Industry, Science and Resources 2024 assumptions: The Albanese government’s projections show a worse reliance on fossil gas in 2029 than the IEA’s own “worst case” scenario (“STEPS”, or “stated policies”, assumes the whole world freezes its climate policy ambitions in place with no new ambitions). The March 2025 update of those projections is roughly the same, despite the IEA’s own scenarios massively revising down the amount of assumed gas burned in all of its scenarios, between 2023 and 2024. When the “Future Gas Strategy” report came out last year, my first instinct was to think “Haha, I’m going to make a chart that shows their plans against the IEA’s scenarios”. My hair blew back from the desk when I saw that they included it in there themselves.“There are a wide range of gas demand estimates in 2050 that correspond with different levels of global ambition to reduce emissions. With national pathways to net zero in development around the world, global gas demand through the transition and in 2050 remains highly uncertain,” write the report’s authors.In justifying presenting a broad spread of future scenarios, the government claims “actual level of gas demand in 2030 could be materially higher assuming that the short-term forecasts are accurate”, and that “planned consumption by trading partners is inconsistent with emissions reduction commitments … there is no single story about the future of global energy”.It’s upsetting to have to say this, but it’s truly no kind of fucking revelation that different futures are possible. What matters here is that those futures manifest depending on the decisions made today. Decisions like “let’s just assume the future is worse than the worst case scenarios, and act accordingly” are self-fulfilling prophecies that instil behavioural lock-in and a failure to imagine that better things are in fact possible. Actively setting out to wind down the supply of fossil fuels (without causing unjust price shocks) would definitely bring about a resulting decrease in fossil fuel demand, if done carefully. We already know about possible futures; the question is, which one are you fighting for?The decision to let North West Shelf live longer than I probably will arrived on the same week as the massive conference of Australia’s gas lobby, “Australian Energy Producers”. At that conference, the day before the approval was formally announced, the Minister for Resources Madeleine King stood up and reinforced the message of the “future gas strategy”:<blockquote>As many will recall, the strategy strongly acknowledges the ongoing role of gas in the energy transition … my department is consulting on changes to retention lease policies to encourage more timely development of existing gas discoveries.</blockquote>Labor only really sees one desirable future among that spaghetti of future lines: maximum gas consumption, no matter who gets burned in the process. This is why Albanese is scrambling to rationalise the project’s approval by flat-out lying about it being used for domestic gas power generation. Chris Bowen falsely claimed the site’s massive domestic emissions are being controlled by the “Safeguard Mechanism”, when Woodside already meets its targets entirely by buying up cheap, highly suspicious carbon offsets. King frames exports as sustaining “millions of households and businesses”, when the key customer, Japan, breezily buys it up and then on-sells it for a profit. The global context here is important: there has been a rising drumbeat of centre-right climate-aligned institutions and individuals calling for a “reset” of climate policy. Figures like Tony Blair and the US “Council for Foreign Relations” call for a more brazen fatalism on climate: giving up on goals and focusing instead on “energy security” and nationalist priorities. A half decade of wars, invasions, energy crises and a really nasty pandemic haven’t been easy on our movement, and the tactical fatalist predators are circling.When North West Shelf was approved, the Climate Council issued a release describing Labor’s climate status as “two steps forward, one devastating step back”. The latest domestic emissions data released by the government showed a subtle rise in exactly the wrong direction, and my own analysis of current and projected emissions put Labor on track to have the highest cumulative exported emissions of any government to date. In short: it is more like “no steps forward, and several million steps back”.The Climate Council list the fact that the Albanese government “acknowledges the clear link between climate change and more frequent and intense extreme weather” in that post. But we already know Labor is not a climate denier. It’s worse: it’s a tactical fatalist. It’s a party that understands the gas industry dies in the potential future where we get to live, and so is setting about whipping open the gas taps to Asia in the hope that the methane firehose will encourage this half of the planet to burn as much methane as possible over the next few decades.The climate movement is ill-equipped to deal with a threat that looks like this. The easy binary of deniers vs believers died last decade. Any fantasy we had of a global moral pact of good intentions is dead. This decade we are realising how much damage and death can be caused openly, without any shame. Genocidal countries know it, and the fossil fuel industry knows it, too. Our only hope is shifting back to fighting like hell to force the powerful not to choose to knowingly destroy our lives.As Australia heads to Bonn to lobby to host COP31 in 2026, it does so happy in the knowledge of a new permission space for fossil fuel fatalism emerging globally. And it won’t feel any shame about it until we grow the language to describe it.<ul><li>Ketan Joshi is a writer, analyst and communications consultant focusing on clean energy and climate change. He previously worked in climate and energy for private companies and government agencies, and now writes journalism and commentary from the front lines of climate and energy battles around the world. He is based in Oslo and consults to organisations addressing the climate crisis. </li></ul>QUOTE ENDS<a href="https://infosec.space/tags/AusPol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#AusPol</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WhyIsLabor" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WhyIsLabor</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/HahahahaLiebs" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#HahahahaLiebs</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NatsAreNuts" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NatsAreNuts</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/OzElection2025" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#OzElection2025</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NonLinear" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NonLinear</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/TippingPoints" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#TippingPoints</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/PositiveFeedbackLoops" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#PositiveFeedbackLoops</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FossilFools" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FossilFools</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RenewableEnergy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RenewableEnergy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ChangeTheSystem" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ChangeTheSystem</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StateCapture" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StateCapture</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RightToProtest" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RightToProtest</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Biodiversity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Biodiversity</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WeAreTotallyFscked" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WeAreTotallyFscked</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Misanthropy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Misanthropy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Karma" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Karma</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StopLoggingNativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StopLoggingNativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FsckCapitalism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FsckCapitalism</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a>

Droppie [infosec] 🐨:archlinux: :kde: :firefox_nightly: :thunderbird: :vegan:This is a weird headline...<blockquote>We can stop Labor wrecking Murujuga, climate</blockquote>...considering that afaict the actual article itself provides no reason for optimism at all. IMO, given we have state & federal Labor governments so completely in thrall to the fossil fools, & who have repeatedly proven they happily ignore science & First Nations, i see no reason to hope here. <a href="https://www.greenleft.org.au/content/we-can-stop-labor-wrecking-murujuga-climate" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.greenleft.org.au/content/we-can-stop-labor-wrecking-murujuga-climate</a><a href="https://infosec.space/tags/AusPol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#AusPol</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WhyIsLabor" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WhyIsLabor</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/HahahahaLiebs" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#HahahahaLiebs</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NatsAreNuts" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NatsAreNuts</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/OzElection2025" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#OzElection2025</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/GreensYEAH" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#GreensYEAH</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NonLinear" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NonLinear</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/TippingPoints" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#TippingPoints</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/PositiveFeedbackLoops" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#PositiveFeedbackLoops</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FossilFools" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FossilFools</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RenewableEnergy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RenewableEnergy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ChangeTheSystem" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ChangeTheSystem</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StateCapture" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StateCapture</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RightToProtest" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RightToProtest</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Biodiversity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Biodiversity</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WeAreTotallyFscked" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WeAreTotallyFscked</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Misanthropy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Misanthropy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Karma" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Karma</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StopLoggingNativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StopLoggingNativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FsckCapitalism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FsckCapitalism</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a>

cohanMany serious wildfires in Western Canada, lots of evacuations, loss of properties, no doubt air quality problems will be spreading far and wide with the smoke. And yet-- Drill Baby Drill! let's build more pipelines! Short term profit (conveniently ignoring all the financial loss from the climate disruption!) is still the only metric people seem to understand 😞 <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateChange</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Canada" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Canada</a>

Droppie [infosec] 🐨:archlinux: :kde: :firefox_nightly: :thunderbird: :vegan:I happen to be of that particular genre of Stupid that thinks if one is claiming to be serious about climate, environment, & biodiversity protection & enhancement, such that one claims to be forming policy for it, then precisely none of the entities historically & currently doing all the fucking over of those things, gets to sit at the decision table. Instead, they simply get told afterwards that the rules of the game have changed, & all their fucking over shall immediately cease, otherwise it's the Big House for them. I'd prolly also include some appendix formally noting all these entities are fuckheads who can just fuck off. <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/AusPol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#AusPol</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/HahahahaLiebs" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#HahahahaLiebs</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WhyIsLabor" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WhyIsLabor</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NatsAreNuts" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NatsAreNuts</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/OzElection2025" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#OzElection2025</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NonLinear" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NonLinear</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/TippingPoints" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#TippingPoints</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/PositiveFeedbackLoops" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#PositiveFeedbackLoops</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FossilFools" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FossilFools</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RenewableEnergy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RenewableEnergy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ChangeTheSystem" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ChangeTheSystem</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StateCapture" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StateCapture</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RightToProtest" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RightToProtest</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Biodiversity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Biodiversity</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WeAreTotallyFscked" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WeAreTotallyFscked</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Misanthropy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Misanthropy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Karma" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Karma</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StopLoggingNativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StopLoggingNativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FsckCapitalism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FsckCapitalism</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a>

Laetitia ModineCognitive dissonance - <a href="https://pixelfed.social/discover/tags/photography?src=hash" class="u-url hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#photography</a> <a href="https://pixelfed.social/discover/tags/dontlookup?src=hash" class="u-url hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#dontlookup</a> <a href="https://pixelfed.social/discover/tags/cognitivedissonance?src=hash" class="u-url hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#cognitivedissonance</a> <a href="https://pixelfed.social/discover/tags/desertplaces?src=hash" class="u-url hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#desertplaces</a> <a href="https://pixelfed.social/discover/tags/anthropocene?src=hash" class="u-url hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#anthropocene</a> <a href="https://pixelfed.social/discover/tags/gironde?src=hash" class="u-url hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#gironde</a> <a href="https://pixelfed.social/discover/tags/france?src=hash" class="u-url hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#france</a>

Monstreline<a href="https://progressivecafe.social/@TonyStark" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@TonyStark</a> most of the people who feel nostalgic for the great glory of US manufacturing also raised their children to believe that there too valuable, special and entitled to do such menial work. But they’re also deporting the people that will do that work. <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a> is the tagline of all MAGA pursuits. Cognitive dissonance is such a diplomatic way to say <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/Hypocrisy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Hypocrisy</a>

Thinking MunkThe outcome never matters | <a href="https://mastodon.cloud/@destiny" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@destiny</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/SignalGate" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#SignalGate</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Messaging" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Messaging</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/NobodyGotHurt" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NobodyGotHurt</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a>

Droppie [infosec] 🐨:archlinux: :kde: :firefox_nightly: :thunderbird: :vegan:<a href="https://social.vivaldi.net/@ajsadauskas" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@ajsadauskas</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/@jaystephens" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@jaystephens</a> Ta, interesting. I vaguely recall some of that, but your helpful toot defo provided more info than i knew. I think something like this is why i feel, & tbh remain, so archly cynical... If Straya, & frankly the rest of the world, was genuinely honestly doing all the serious shit needed NOW to decarbonise & ameliorate, then seeking engineering solutions in flood zones like this would be ok. Knowing though that we & most others are totes NOT seriously addressing the crisis, fuels [boom tish] my severe pessimism, coz eg, engineering designs need engineering assumptions [in this case including expected heights & frequency of floods]. Such assumptions necessarily must be predicated on a certain "steady state" belief [plus safety margins thrown in]. That's all fine, IF we had reason to trust such assumptions. I do NOT trust them, simply coz there IS no steady state; humans are continuing to add more & more CO2 & CH4 to Gaia's atmosphere, thus more & more raising the enthalpy, ergo the heating energy, ergo... yada yada. <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NonLinear" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NonLinear</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/TippingPoints" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#TippingPoints</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/PositiveFeedbackLoops" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#PositiveFeedbackLoops</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FossilFools" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FossilFools</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RenewableEnergy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RenewableEnergy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ChangeTheSystem" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ChangeTheSystem</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StateCapture" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StateCapture</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RightToProtest" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RightToProtest</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Biodiversity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Biodiversity</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WeAreTotallyFscked" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WeAreTotallyFscked</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Misanthropy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Misanthropy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Karma" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Karma</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StopLoggingNativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StopLoggingNativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FsckCapitalism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FsckCapitalism</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a>

Kent PitmanBBC offers video taken near Gounsa Temple, a large and historic Buddhist temple built in 618 AD, which they report as having "burned down" among raging wildfires in South Korea.For some of us, our minds race, imagining ourselves there, what would we do? Measure the distance probably, decide if we're safe. We hope no action is required. If we're far enough away, we hope to decide we can go about our lives. This is not about us.That a static measuring tool reassures us about a kinetic event is a hint about the kind of denial we're in. Too many people unconcerned about walls that are closing in, preferring to see it is a problem only for those closer to the walls. It fuels in our society a love of politicians willing to tell us that this will not affect us. No wonder alternative facts are so appealing.If we can just be left alone to get through our own lives, surely it can be seen to be someone else's problem.<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/videos/c7982w809jno" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.bbc.com/news/videos/c7982w809jno</a><a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/climate" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#climate</a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/wildfire" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#wildfire</a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/wildfires" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#wildfires</a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/BuddhistHistory" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#BuddhistHistory</a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Buddhist" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Buddhist</a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/history" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#history</a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/temple" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#temple</a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/ClimateEmergency" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateEmergency</a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/ClimareDenial" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimareDenial</a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a>

Rupert CockeI talk a lot about <a href="https://newsie.social/tags/cognitivedissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#cognitivedissonance</a> (doubling down on your identity when faced by contradiction) on my personal blog. This incredibly sad news story is perhaps the perfect example. <a href="https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/measles-outbreak-texas-child-dead-parents-anti-vax-b2718899.html" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/measles-outbreak-texas-child-dead-parents-anti-vax-b2718899.html</a>

Nonilex<a href="https://tech.lgbt/@Shdwdrgn" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@Shdwdrgn</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a>

Droppie [infosec] 🐨:archlinux: :kde: :firefox_nightly: :thunderbird: :vegan:<a href="https://www.crikey.com.au/2025/03/12/carbon-credits-australia-human-induced-regeneration-accus/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.crikey.com.au/2025/03/12/carbon-credits-australia-human-induced-regeneration-accus/</a>QUOTE BEGINSWith the corporate sector increasingly sceptical of Australia’s carbon credit system and rumours that the government’s Climate Active voluntary credits scheme will be shut down, in February the Clean Energy Regulator (CER) — the body charged with overseeing Australia’s carbon credit system, issued a remarkable paper.Designed to provide assurance that carbon credits based on “human-induced regeneration” (HIR) carbon sequestration projects — which are crucial to Labor’s underwhelming climate action policies — were credible, it purported to show how “projects registered under the HIR method earn carbon credits based on the sequestration of carbon in native vegetation. It provides an overview of the robust framework for large-scale sequestration throughout Australia”.As we know from a wide range of scientists and experts in the administration of HIR schemes, the framework is anything but robust. In fact, it is almost entirely at odds with the basic science of vegetation regeneration.The arguments made in the paper, which have been scrutinised by Andrew Macintosh, Megan Evans, Don Butler, Marie Waschka and Dean Ansell of ANU and UNSW, raise concerns that the Clean Energy Regulator — which has a history of attacking scientists who question its claims — continues to ignore science in favour of propping up a scheme crucial to Labor’s efforts to pretend it is serious about climate action.In particular, the CER continues to push the claim that forms the illusory basis of around 95% of HIR projects — that stopping animals grazing on land allows plants to regenerate into woody vegetation, thereby storing carbon. The scientific consensus is that this is simply not true — it is the amount of rainfall that determines regrowth, not ceasing grazing. That means that the great majority of HIR projects are simply never going to do what their owners are being paid for, and the resulting Australian carbon credit units (ACCUs) are worthless in terms of stored carbon.As Crikey detailed in 2023, the CER has fought a bitter battle against the science — including misrepresenting experts as backing the CER’s view. In documents released under freedom of information laws, we know that the CSIRO told Labor’s Chubb review of the integrity of ACCUs that “there is at present no clear evidence that changes in management of total grazing pressure will consistently result in an increase in carbon stocks in woody biomass across all regions of Australia’s rangelands”, before the CER demanded the document be edited.As Macintosh and his colleagues note, the CER has since modified its position slightly but still defies science. In its February tract, it says “although many factors affect regeneration, the most important factor in sustaining the growth of vegetation following rainfall events is the nature, extent, intensity and duration of activities that suppress the growth of native vegetation”.This is demonstrably false. As the Wentworth Group of Scientists told Chubb:<blockquote>Most HIR projects have, however, been directed to arid and semi-arid regions where vegetation has never been cleared. In these boom or bust systems, rainfall is the key driver of vegetation change, and drives both increases and decreases in biomass. While reducing grazing pressure can result in increased tree and shrub cover in these landscapes, from a carbon sequestration perspective this effect is small relative to cyclical climatic drivers.</blockquote>But the CER continues to reject the science. In its February paper, it claims “a 2021 analysis by Beare and Chambers found strong evidence that established HIR projects have resulted in significant increases in vegetation when compared with a business-as-usual scenario in a study of projects in New South Wales and Queensland.”But what did the Beare and Chambers analysis, which examined 72 HIR projects in NSW and 51 in Queensland, actually show? It revealed a statistically significant increase in cover compared to control areas, but the actual increase itself was small, well below the levels for which the projects have been credited — and in nearly a quarter of projects there was no change, or vegetation actually reduced.Moreover, the analysis relied on a dataset that the CER had itself previously dismissed as too inaccurate to assess projects, when Macintosh and co used the same dataset to show minimal increase in tree cover. There’s a similar inconsistency in the CER’s citation in the paper of a report by Dr Chris Brack as evidence that HIR works, when it too relies on satellite imagery-based data which the CER dismisses when it is used by critics.The CER tries to resolve this contradiction in the latest paper by claiming “national-scale data sets may be useful to monitor the performance of the whole portfolio of projects once it matures to forest”. Presumably only if the CER likes the results.Further evidence has emerged about the failure of HIR over the last year. A review by the ANU/UNSW experts assessed 116 HIR projects that had been established before 2017, which should have had substantial regeneration of woody vegetation by now. The study revealed the great majority of projects were not even compliant with the baseline requirements for generating carbon credits, such as having previously been comprehensively cleared, or with progressive requirements relating to revegetation.And given the length of time after project registration, well over half of the projects should have had near-100% forest cover, but in reality only a small number had anything like the cover suggested by the amount of sequestration for which the projects had been credited. And changes in vegetation were heavily responsive to climatic events such as El Ninos and La Ninas.The study concludes:<blockquote>While some projects appear to have had a positive additional effect on canopy cover, even for these projects, the effects are small relative to the levels of credited sequestration and there is limited evidence of material regeneration. At the aggregate level, across all projects in the sample, the data suggest the projects have had only a small effect on canopy cover, with most of the change being attributable to seasonal variability in rainfall.</blockquote>That is, the observed results are consistent with what the science has told us to expect: HIR works only at the margins. ACCUs based on HIR projects remain an expensive con.QUOTE ENDS<a href="https://infosec.space/tags/AusPol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#AusPol</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WomensRights" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WomensRights</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ShitParty1" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ShitParty1</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ShitParty2" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ShitParty2</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FsckOffDutton" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FsckOffDutton</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WhyIsLabor" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WhyIsLabor</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NoNukes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NoNukes</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/VoteGreens" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#VoteGreens</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ProgIndies" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ProgIndies</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/TuckFrump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#TuckFrump</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NonLinear" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NonLinear</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/TippingPoints" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#TippingPoints</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/PositiveFeedbackLoops" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#PositiveFeedbackLoops</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FossilFools" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FossilFools</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RenewableEnergy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RenewableEnergy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ChangeTheSystem" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ChangeTheSystem</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StateCapture" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StateCapture</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/RightToProtest" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RightToProtest</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Biodiversity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Biodiversity</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/WeAreTotallyFscked" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WeAreTotallyFscked</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Misanthropy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Misanthropy</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Karma" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Karma</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/StopLoggingNativeForests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StopLoggingNativeForests</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/FsckCapitalism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FsckCapitalism</a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/CognitiveDissonance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CognitiveDissonance</a>

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