Lingolol

Dr Susi Arnott<a href="https://mastodon.green/@peterdutoit" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@peterdutoit</a> Has the increasing likelihood of <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a> slowing/halting - hammering NW Europe most obviously, but with global impacts - been factored in? <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/climatebreakdown" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#climatebreakdown</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/stopfossilfuels" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#stopfossilfuels</a>

Blippy the Wonder Slug 🇩🇪<a href="https://mstdn.ca/@Rasta" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@Rasta</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/@diverdutch" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@diverdutch</a> Historical weather records went out the window circa end 80s/early 90s. Weather today, and for the rest of our lives, is, and will be, a series of anomalies along the "seasonal timeline".People talk about the potential collapse of the Atlantic Mid Ocean Current (<a href="https://ieji.de/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a>), but it's already happening. The time frame is just so long that we won't really notice until the 2040s or 50s.If we're still here.As always, IMO and YMMV.

DoomsdaysCWPhysics-based indicator predicts tipping point for collapse of Atlantic current system in next 50 yearsby Krystal Kasal"The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (<a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a>) is an enormous loop of ocean current in the Atlantic Ocean that carries warmer waters north and colder waters south, helping to regulate the climate in many regions. The collapse of this critical circulation system has the potential to cause drastic global and regional climate impacts, like <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/droughts" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#droughts</a> and <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ColderWinters" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ColderWinters</a>, especially in Northwestern Europe."Previous research has already indicated a weakening in the AMOC, but there has been uncertainty about when the AMOC will collapse under future climate change or whether it will collapse at all. But new research, now published in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, indicates that collapse of the AMOC is likely and that it might begin sooner rather than later."Using a new physics-based indicator and the Community Earth System Model (<a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/CESM" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#CESM</a>), the study authors have produced new simulations of the AMOC collapse under various conditions."The researchers believe the new indicator better represents the water circulation compared to previously used parameters, such as the ocean's surface temperature. Instead, it represents a tipping point indicated by a sign change in surface buoyancy flux (Bflux) over a key part of the North Atlantic Ocean from 40°N to 65°N. They also compared their results to historical observations and data."Their simulations tested out 25 different climate models. They say that the AMOC was fairly stable until about 2020, but since then, there have been signs of weakening. Future modeling shows that, in high-emission scenarios, the AMOC collapse tipping point began as early as 2023 and as late as 2076, with a median tipping point at 2055. Under more intermediate scenarios, the tipping point was placed between 2026 and 2095, with a median of 2063."The study authors note, 'If the AMOC starts to collapse, it takes more than 100 years to reach a substantially weaker state. During that transition, the Northwestern European climate would change drastically and is expected to see colder winters, less rainfall, and more severe winter storms.'"The study authors also note that many prior simulations only ran until around 2100, but letting simulations go further into the future might provide more accurate results. They say, 'Given these risks of AMOC tipping under climate change, we encourage modeling groups to simulate to at least the year 2200.'"There were some limitations in this research; for example, most models did not include enhanced <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/GreenlandIceMelt" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#GreenlandIceMelt</a>, which could actually accelerate AMOC weakening. In some cases, background circulation can balance surface buoyancy gain. In these cases, the proposed indicator can also give false positives, but this is rare."There is still time for societies to limit the impact of eventual AMOC collapse or to develop adaptation strategies, but the study authors offer a stark warning, saying, 'To limit the risk of AMOC weakening and a potential collapse in the foreseeable future, global society needs to be on track of a <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/LowEmission" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#LowEmission</a> scenario and urgent <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateAction" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ClimateAction</a> is needed to guarantee this.' "Read more: <a href="https://phys.org/news/2025-09-physics-based-indicator-collapse-atlantic.html" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://phys.org/news/2025-09-physics-based-indicator-collapse-atlantic.html</a><a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/AMOCCollapse" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOCCollapse</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ClimateChange</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/SeaLevelRise" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#SeaLevelRise</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ExtremeWeather" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ExtremeWeather</a>

Charles Should<a href="https://piaille.fr/@Dun" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@Dun</a> le nucléaire ne se deploiera pas avant la fin de l <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a> . Un jour, une carte : l’effondrement des courants océaniques va-t-il entrainer la fin de nos saisons tempérées ? - RTBF Actus<a href="https://www.rtbf.be/article/un-jour-une-carte-l-effondrement-des-courants-oceaniques-va-t-il-entrainer-la-fin-de-nos-saisons-temperees-11595840" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.rtbf.be/article/un-jour-une-carte-l-effondrement-des-courants-oceaniques-va-t-il-entrainer-la-fin-de-nos-saisons-temperees-11595840</a>

flo"Manchmal werde ich von deutschen Journalist*innen gefragt: 'Kompensiert es dann nicht wunderbar die Erderwärmung [über Deutschland/Europa], wenn die Atlantische Umwälzströmung zusammenbricht und sich die Region daher abkühlt?' (von mir aus dem englischen Vortrag übersetzt) Nun, in den weiß dargestellten Zonen sieht es so aus, als würde sich das im jährlichen Mittel ausgleichen, aber wenn Sie sich die Temperaturdifferenz anschauen (...), dann sieht das für mich aus, wie eine verrückt stürmische Region, mit bisher nicht dagewesenen Wetterextremen." Beachtet, wie sich weltweit jede (!) Region massiv erwärmt (bis auf die Antarktis) und nur Nordeuropa diese "Kühle Blase" aufweist, in der es zu dauerhaften Temperaturveränderungen von bis zu 40°C weniger, als heute üblich, kommen kann! Prof. @rahmstorf über den Forschungsstand zur Atlantischen Umwälzzirkulation (englisch: Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, <a href="https://iceshrimp.de/tags/AMOC" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a>) <a href="https://inv.nadeko.net/watch?v=ZHNNW8c_FaA" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">inv.nadeko.net/watch?v=ZHNNW8c_FaA</a> (<a href="https://youtu.be/ZHNNW8c_FaA" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">youtu.be/ZHNNW8c_FaA</a>) (Von meinem alten Account herüber geholt.) <a href="https://iceshrimp.de/tags/AMOC" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a> <a href="https://iceshrimp.de/tags/Klimaerwärmung" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Klimaerwärmung</a> <a href="https://iceshrimp.de/tags/Atmosphäre" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Atmosphäre</a> <a href="https://iceshrimp.de/tags/Klimakatastrophe" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Klimakatastrophe</a> <a href="https://iceshrimp.de/tags/Europa" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Europa</a>

floWarum haben wir in Europa vergleichsweise milde Temperaturen? Diese Grafik finde ich da sehr anschaulich: Europa liegt auf der gleichen Höhe, wie sehr viel kältere Regionen weiter im Osten. Dennoch haben wir hier ideale Bedingungen, um eine Vegetation zu unterstützen, die Leben für uns Menschen ermöglicht (Anbau von Nahrungsmitteln, usw.). Ohne den Golfstrom, der für milde Temperaturen sorgt, würde es hier ähnlich aussehen, wie in östlicheren Gegenden. Sollte sich die Atlantische Meeresströmung weiterhin abschwächen, könnte das in Europa sehr ungemütlich werden! <a href="https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/12/atlantic-circulation-collapse-new-clues-on-the-fate-of-a-crucial-conveyor-belt/" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/12/atlantic-circulation-collapse-new-clues-on-the-fate-of-a-crucial-conveyor-belt/</a> (Von meinem alten Account herüber geholt.) <a href="https://iceshrimp.de/tags/AMOC" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a> <a href="https://iceshrimp.de/tags/Erderwärmung" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Erderwärmung</a> <a href="https://iceshrimp.de/tags/Klimakatastrophe" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Klimakatastrophe</a>

Prof. Stefan RahmstorfTrotz der reißerischen Schlagzeile ein informativer Bericht zur neuen <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a>- Studie. <a href="https://www.t-online.de/klima/leben-umwelt/id_100896382/amoc-vor-dem-aus-europas-zentralheizung-droht-der-kollaps.html" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.t-online.de/klima/leben-umwelt/id_100896382/amoc-vor-dem-aus-europas-zentralheizung-droht-der-kollaps.html</a>

Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf1987 warnte der große US-Ozeanforscher Wally Broecker in der Top-Fachzeitschrift Nature eindringlich vor abrupten Klimawechseln durch Instabilität der Atlantikströmung <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a>: „Wir spielen russisches Roulette mit dem Klima“. Jahrzehnte weiterer Forschung seither haben gezeigt: die Gefahr ist noch wesentlich größer als er dachte. Hört eigentlich jemand zu in der Politik?

Dr Susi ArnottThe case for our astoundingly calm <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a> demonstration is clearly put - need for reduction in <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/greenhousegasemissions" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#greenhousegasemissions</a> could not be more urgent <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/climatebreakdown" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#climatebreakdown</a> <a href="https://climatecriminals.uk/amoc/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://climatecriminals.uk/amoc/</a>

Franziska Köppe | madikoDer bewegte Planet Wenn Du verstehen möchtest, wie unsere Erd-Systeme funktionieren, dann empfehle ich Dir die Doku via Arte. Eine phänomenal gute Doku! <a href="https://www.arte.tv/de/videos/120429-000-A/der-bewegte-planet/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.arte.tv/de/videos/120429-000-A/der-bewegte-planet/</a>(90 min, verfügbar bis 2025-011-27)Eine Auswahl Schlagworte: <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/KlimaFolgenForschung" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#KlimaFolgenForschung</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/PlanetareGrenzen" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#PlanetareGrenzen</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/UnverhandelbareRealit%C3%A4t" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#UnverhandelbareRealität</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/ErdSysteme" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ErdSysteme</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/AtmoSph%C3%A4re" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AtmoSphäre</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/Ozeane" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Ozeane</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/KippElemente" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#KippElemente</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/KippPunkte" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#KippPunkte</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/WissKomm" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#WissKomm</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/WissDoku" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#WissDoku</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/DokuLiebe" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#DokuLiebe</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/Meteorologie" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Meteorologie</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/Ozeanographie" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Ozeanographie</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/AtmoSph%C3%A4renForschung" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AtmoSphärenForschung</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/Biologie" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Biologie</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/Zuk%C3%BCnfteForschung" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ZukünfteForschung</a> <a href="https://mastodon.green/tags/KlimaModelle" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#KlimaModelle</a>

Gernot WagnerYou know how the Gulf Stream (AMOC, for the climate nerd set) keeps Europe habitable?The latest tipping points paper is making the rounds for good reason. AMOC collapses past 2100 in *all* projections <a href="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/adfa3b" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/adfa3b</a>Good <a href="https://flipboard.com/@TheEconomist" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@TheEconomist</a> take <a href="https://www.economist.com/leaders/2025/08/14/the-shutdown-of-ocean-currents-could-freeze-europe?giftId=b5992cb2-4327-4199-9ac4-88c22f7fbd10&utm_campaign=gifted_article" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.economist.com/leaders/2025/08/14/the-shutdown-of-ocean-currents-could-freeze-europe?giftId=b5992cb2-4327-4199-9ac4-88c22f7fbd10&utm_campaign=gifted_article</a> [gift link]<a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/climate" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#climate</a> <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/amoc" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#amoc</a> <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/tippingpoints" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#tippingpoints</a> <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/europe" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#europe</a> <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/eu" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#eu</a>

Speckdäne<a href="https://nrw.social/tags/idw" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#idw</a> <a href="https://nrw.social/tags/Klima" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Klima</a> Möglicher Zusammenbruch der atlantischen Umwälzzirkulation nach 2100 bei hohem Emissionspfad.In Szenarien mit hohen Treibhausgasemissionen könnte die Atlantische Meridionale Umwälzströmung (<a href="https://nrw.social/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a>) – ein zentrales System von Meeresströmungen, zu dem auch der <a href="https://nrw.social/tags/Golfstrom" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Golfstrom</a> gehört – nach dem Jahr 2100 zusammenbrechen. Das zeigt eine neue Studie mit Beteiligung des Potsdam-Instituts für Klimafolgenforschung (<a href="https://nrw.social/tags/PIK" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#PIK</a>). <a href="https://idw-online.de/de/news857094" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://idw-online.de/de/news857094</a>

atomickerCollapse of the <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a> would have ”devastating and irreversible climate impacts” and “potentially catastrophic consequences”, including ”significant changes in weather patterns, extreme temperature shifts, rising sea levels, and even disruption to marine ecosystems”<a href="https://oceanographicmagazine.com/news/amoc-atlantic-tipping-point-keeping-climate-stable-greatly-underestimated/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://oceanographicmagazine.com/news/amoc-atlantic-tipping-point-keeping-climate-stable-greatly-underestimated/</a><a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/Canada" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Canada</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/CDNPoli" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#CDNPoli</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/NoLNG" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#NoLNG</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/NoPipelines" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#NoPipelines</a>

atomicker"You know - we're digging our own grave. And when you're doing that, the first thing to do is - stop digging!"<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mIV0yuXfcO0" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mIV0yuXfcO0</a><a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/Canada" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Canada</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/CDNPoli" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#CDNPoli</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/NoLNG" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#NoLNG</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/NoPipelines" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#NoPipelines</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a>

atomickerScientists have warned previously that collapse of the <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a> would leave ”catastrophic” consequences, and must be avoided ”at all costs”.<a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/Canada" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Canada</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/CDNPoli" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#CDNPoli</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/NoLNG" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#NoLNG</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/NoPipelines" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#NoPipelines</a>

atomicker”... even a 10% chance of an Amoc collapse would be far too high. We found that the tipping point where the shutdown becomes inevitable is probably in the next 10 to 20 years or so. That is quite a shocking finding as well and why we have to act really fast in cutting down emissions.”<a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/Canada" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Canada</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/CDNPoli" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#CDNPoli</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/NoLNG" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#NoLNG</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/NoPipelines" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#NoPipelines</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a>

atomickerCollapse of the critical <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a> ”can no longer be considered a low-likelihood event, a study has concluded, making deep cuts to fossil fuel emissions even more urgent to avoid the catastrophic impact”<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/aug/28/collapse-critical-atlantic-current-amoc-no-longer-low-likelihood-study" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/aug/28/collapse-critical-atlantic-current-amoc-no-longer-low-likelihood-study</a><a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/Canada" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Canada</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/CDNPoli" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#CDNPoli</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/NoLNG" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#NoLNG</a> <a href="https://mstdn.ca/tags/NoPipelines" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#NoPipelines</a>

David A. McKayApropos of recent AMOC news, I've finally gotten round to updating this AMOC tipping explainer from a couple years back with some of the flurry of papers published since then - check it out if you'd like some more background:<a href="https://climatetippingpoints.info/2023/08/15/amoc-collapse-explainer/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://climatetippingpoints.info/2023/08/15/amoc-collapse-explainer/</a><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/TippingPoints" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#TippingPoints</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Climate" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Climate</a>

Prof. Stefan RahmstorfDer <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a> Kipppunkt ist physikalisch verstanden und robust vom ersten analytischen Modell von Stommel 1961 über die groben Ozeanmodelle, mit denen ich in 1990ern geforscht habe, bis zu neuesten, Wirbel auflösenden Modellen. Es gibt keinen Anlass für Spekulationen, dass er wesentlich von der Modellauflösung abhängt.<a href="https://bsky.app/profile/rahmstorf.bsky.social/post/3ll5hbpif4s2f" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://bsky.app/profile/rahmstorf.bsky.social/post/3ll5hbpif4s2f</a>

Prof. Stefan RahmstorfDiese Woche ist noch eine zweite Studie erschienen, die mit anderer Methodik auch zu dem Schluss kommt, dass die <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#AMOC</a> schon Mitte des Jahrhunderts ihren Kipppunkt überschreiten dürfte: <a href="https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025JC022651" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025JC022651</a>

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