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#collapse

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@screwtape

I am conflicted about the issue of a historical record. We are all finite, and I will eventually not be here, so I try to get things into the record to survive me. But does that matter if we don't solve climate? Will there be any people left for whom a historical record is needed? Or will humanity go extinct and make all the effort of anyone creating historical records a waste of time. It's for this reason that I'm glad you take part of your show to talk about Climate, even though it may seem a distraction. I have a very real concern that my eventual death will not be very much separated from the rest of you who think me probably so much older than you. That would be sad.

4/4

I know people who regard the American shit show as merely a distant spectacle, unlikely to directly affect our lives here in Europe. They're wrong on many fronts (economics, security, media) but this one is especially scary: killing off vaccinations when we just had a frigging zoonotic pandemic, and the next one is already banging at the door in the shape of H5N1.

There's a saying, that climate change manifests as a series of phone filmed disasters, until it's your phone doing the filming. In this case the scenario is that of distant peoply dying because of disastrous policies, until it's you and your loved ones doing the dying.

#publichealth #murica #collapse

theguardian.com/us-news/2025/m

The Guardian · RFK Jr and health agency falsely claim MMR vaccine includes ‘aborted fetus debris’By Jessica Glenza
Continued thread

I saw these signs in my yard today. I don't know why we didn't take them in. But it felt like a metaphor for democracy itself. So I wrote the haiku, trying to capture how disorienting it is to try to look back at that time, which isn't that long ago in days, but seems a lifetime away in traumas.

A haiku often captures a seasonal element or a change of seasons, and a senryu a human issue, sometimes comedic. If there is anything comedic here, it is tragicomedy. But certainly we are in a new season, where only Climate Change itself can be an apt metaphor for a too-hot political summer to come, one for which spring has given us only the barest hints of how bad it could be.

We need to start tending our gardens better. There are limits to what we can withstand in the climate, and the political climate. These are not just words.

My mind goes once again to a favorite quote from the excellent Asimov & Silverberg novel Nightfall (not the short story), when, after a complete disruption of society due to a global cataclysm, a psychologist named Sheerin who'd predicted social chaos reflects on his earlier predictions and how he feels about the way they played out:

«"It's one thing to predict it. It's something else to be right in the middle of it. It's a very humbling thing, … for an academic like me to find his abstract theories turning into concrete reality. I was so glib, so blithely unconcerned. 'Tomorrow there won't be a city standing unharmed in all [the world]' I said, and it was all just so many words to me, really, just a philosophical exercise, completely abstract. 'The end of the world you used to live in.' Yes. Yes." Sheerin shivered. "And it all happened, just like I said. But I suppose I didn't really believe my own dire predictions, until everything came crashing down around me.»

"I lived through the end of a civil war — I moved back to Sri Lanka in my twenties, just as the ceasefire fell apart. Do you know what it was like for me? Quite normal. I went to work, I went out, I dated. This is what Americans don’t understand. They’re waiting to get personally punched in the face while ash falls from the sky. That’s not how it happens."

indi.ca/i-lived-through-collap

indi.ca · I Lived Through Collapse. America Is Already There.Living in Sri Lanka during the end of the civil war, I saw how life goes on, surrounded by death

I guess this gives (again) a nice example how a various effects of a collapse could work out.

Electricity gone also means:
* no way to fill up your car
* in some places water supply stopped (pumps!)
* no way to contact a doctor, fire fighter or other emergency service
* food spoils because freezers thaw
* huge congestion because problems with all type of traffic.
* ATM don't work
* mobile phones can't be used and only last as long as their batteries
* many shops can't sell, because their cash registers don't work.
* etc. etc.

In short mayhem all over the place.

Luckily I'm on a small solar system and amazingly most of the day internet worked. Only an outage from 14:30 to around 18:00
Unfortunately my website is down, although the (solar powered) server didn't give a budge.

BARCELONA, Spain (AP) — A blackout brought much of Spain and Portugal to a standstill Monday, halting subway and railway trains, cutting phone service and shutting down traffic lights and ATMs for millions of people across the Iberian Peninsula.

Spain’s Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez said that a problem in the European grid that he described as a “strong oscillation” was behind the outage, but that the cause was still being determined. The Spanish leader asked the public to refrain from speculation and said no theory about the cause of the outage had been discarded.

Spanish power distributor Red Eléctrica said that restoring power fully to the country and neighboring Portugal could take 6-10 hours. By mid-afternoon, voltage was progressively being restored in the north, south and west of the peninsula, the company said. The company declined to speculate on the causes of the huge blackout.

Sánchez thanked the governments of France and Morocco, where energy was being pulled from to restore power to north and southern Spain.

The Portuguese National Cybersecurity Center issued a statement saying there was no sign the outage was due to a cyberattack.

apnews.com/article/spain-portu

Hi followers, help wanted.
I hear fosstodon.org is not a great place to be anymore. And other communities want to defederate from it.
I had no idea what was going on, but I don’t think I want to be here anymore.
Where should I move? I am from #Denmark, and it could for example be a Danish community. I am also into software development (not a brogrammer), generally interested in combating #climatechange and other #collapse aspects as well as tech #enshittification, and quite skeptical of #AI.

Thinking today about #bikes, complex #technology, iron and #steel, rubber and #collapse

As the system collapses in the coming years, we'll use simpler modes to travel less.

"Socialism will only arrive on a bicycle."

But look how complex today's bikes have become.

Illich saw global transport equity as optimal at the 3-speed bike.

But that too is quite complex.

We'll be restoring and simplifying bikes, but where will the new parts come from? Where will they be made?
/ Continues #degrowth

Not hard to understand why America voted Trump: 85% are innumerate, 70% scientifically illiterate, 40% believe in creationism, 62% have no college degree, 80% can only speak one language, 75% are obese or overweight, and most have no competency in history, geography, political philosophy, economics, civics, or foreign affairs.
#USpolitics #sociology #collapse #FailedState #Trumpism
robertreich.substack.com/p/ine

robertreich.substack.comIneptitude, incompetence, stupidity, and chaosTrump is fundamentally incapable of governing. That’s the theme that unites everything.

Proving conservatives know to how run the economy, like a fish knows how to ride a bicycle.

"With no orders to fill, Mr. Fulton rented out his home in Alaska and temporarily moved to Brazil, where his wife is from, because the cost of living is lower. And instead of closing deals with investors to raise more money, he is consulting a bankruptcy lawyer."
#collapse #economics #business #recession #depression #tariffs #trade
nytimes.com/2025/04/25/busines

Tim Fulton, who has spent years developing air cargo handling equipment, watched interested buyers disappear when tariffs forced him to raise his price.
The New York Times · Uncertainty Over Trump’s Tariffs Paralyzes U.S. BusinessesBy Daisuke Wakabayashi
Replied in thread

@cstross I actually hope so. We (all humans on this planet who live in modern societies) are deep in ecological #overshoot and can't just go on like this. The global economy is more than double the size a hypothetical sustainable economy could reach, we won't ever become sustainable unless the economy shrinks dramatically, which of course would mean the collapse of Capitalism. If Trump manages to speed up the inevitable #collapse of the world economy, we might slow down the ecological collapse for a while (but only if we can get rid of the oligarchs very quickly afterwards).
There is no way to avoid chaos and collapse now, but how and when certain systems collapse makes a huge difference for the future evolution of organic life on Earth, and whether the genus Homo is still a part of the biosphere for a few more millions of years or not.

A subset of the population wants to be ruled by strongmen, authoritarians who can punish perceived opponents, and illiberal autocrats contemptuous of the enlightenment project. It is evident in how many look to the mafia and its cinematic iterations as heroes. Trump is the destroyer; his MAGAts are the drug fuelled berserkers setting civilization aflame.
#collapse #Trumpism #liberalism #democracy #authoritarianism #mafia #legal
nytimes.com/2025/04/21/opinion

The New York Times · Opinion | M. Gessen: ‘Trump Is Building a Mafia State’By M. Gessen

I am an AmeriCorps NCCC alum, and while I have very mixed feelings about my time with the program, AmeriCorps just got DOGEd and there are young folks who just wanted to serve who need our help. I had the misfortune of being in the class of 2013, when the government shut down, delaying our start by weeks, and possibly completely canceling that service year entirely. I was homeless. I was very lucky, and had folks I could couch surf with, and managed to get through it just fine, but the anxiety of having a program I gave up my living situation for falling through like that has stayed with me.

The NCCC class of 2025 were in the program already when the rug got pulled out from under them. If you are an AmeriCorps Alum, check whatever network space you might have with past programs and teammates, and you will likely find links and forms for helping connect you to a current corps-member who needs aid. If you don't have access, let me know and I will privately send you a link.

The 18-26 year olds who join this group do it because they think they have the ability to be a force for good in the world. AmeriCorps does not have the same pull or benefits of military service, these are kids who largely believe in the mission. Help these kids, not just because it's the right thing to do, but because they represent, more than most, the spark of hope we need in this world, and right now that needs to be protected.